There are three, long-term conflicts in this area of the world. The first
two, Kirdistan and Kashmir, could be settled very quickly by plebiscites of the
people involved. Unfortunately, the political will does not exist in Turkey,
Iran, Iraq, Pakistan and India to resolve the conflicts. The third clash,
involving the future of Palestine, is much more intractable. There appear to be
no feasible solutions possible at this time.
Sources of instability in the Middle East and Far East:
Kurdistan: This is a non-existent country which would be the
homeland of the Kurds. They are a fiercely independent people who occupy what
is now parts of Turkey, Iraq and Iran. At this time, none of these three
countries appear willing to grant the Kurds their own homeland. There is no
real provision in international law by which a people can obtain autonomy or
independence. If there were, then the Kurds could create a new country of
Kurdistan and live in peace. There is a significant religious component to
this conflict. Even though the vast majority of Kurds, Turks, Iraquis and
Iranians are Muslims, they come from two traditions within Islam: Shiite
and Sunni. Currently, a low-level conflict continues and will
probably continue indefinitely into the future.
Kashmir: This is an area claimed by both Pakistan and India.
Several wars have been fought over this land since India was divided along
religious lines (Hindu and Muslim) shortly after World War II. Three UN resolutions have called
for a plebiscite to decide whether Kashmir should join India or Pakistan.
Although this solution was originally agreed to by both countries, India has
since reneged on the arrangement. Kashmir is currently divided by a line of
control into a southern region controlled by India and a northern area under
the rule of Pakistan. Any next war may well involve massive loss of life, as
both countries have densely populated urban areas and each now has a few dozen nuclear bombs
with crude delivery
mechanisms. A new complexity has emerged recently: there is a substantial
interest by the people of Kashmir for independence from both India and
Pakistan. Again, no possibility of a
resolution to this problem appears possible.
Palestine: In 1948, the UN created the state of Israel.
1 Surrounding Arab countries were furious, as were the Muslim inhabitants of
what is now Israel. The governments of the neighboring countries ordered
their fellow Muslims to vacate the land so that they could freely attack
the new country. But those states were never able to wrest power from the
Israelis. Nor were the surrounding countries willing to take in the
resultant refugees. Two major wars later, Israel had expanded its borders
to include Judea and Samaria (a.k.a. the West Bank). This incorporates
much of the ancient country of Canaan, which religious Jews believe that
God gave to them. Meanwhile, most fundamentalist Muslims believe that
Allah intends the entire Middle East to be Muslim. Thus began a decades-long
presence in Palestinian
lands by the Israeli army. The Palestinians call it an occupation; the
Israelis call it a disputed territory. Although a trading of land for peace has worked
successfully in other cases -- notably Egypt -- it has proven to be an elusive
goal between the Palestinians and Israelis.
The Palestine National Authority -- a quasi-governmental
agency in the West Bank and Gaza 2 -- planned Infitada II, a popular
uprising, to start in the fall of 2000. A visit by Israeli prime minister Ariel
Sharon to the Temple Mount in Jerusalem was considered a provocative act
by the Palestinians and used to trigger their uprising. Infitada II is
often portrayed in the media as a two-sided conflict between Palestinians and Israelis; between
Muslims and Jews. That may be overly simplistic. On the Palestinian side,
there are many groups, each with a different agenda. They range from
exterminating every Jew in Israel, to coexisting with Israel. On the
Israeli side, there are at least three politically powerful groups: the
settlers who are illegally living in Palestinian land, small religious
political parties which have traditionally held the balance of power in
the government, and secular Israelis who are in the majority. With perhaps
a half dozen different groups involved in the conflict, resolution has
proven impossible.
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Strife between Jews and Muslims in Israel: 2000-Fall to present:
The Infitada II conflict started in the fall of 2000, and has escalated to
include many dozens of suicide bombings by radical extremist Palestinians and
subsequent reprisals by the Israeli army. By 2002-Fall, about 2,000 people have died in the
conflict. There has been a consistent ratio of about three Palestinians to each Israeli
killed.
There appears to be a lack of good will on all sides:
Chairman Arafat of the Palestinian National Authority has
consistently refused to detain and charge terrorists. He may not have the
political power to do so without igniting a public uprising.
Prime Minister Sharon of Israel consistently demands an interval of total
peace without suicide bombings, shooting or any other violence before he will
engage in any peace negotiations. This is equivalent to telling the violent
elements within Palestine that as long as they create a violent incident at
least at monthly intervals, that one of their goals would be achieved: no
dialog among the parties involved.
All sides seem intent on focussing on retaliation for the most recent
violent attack.
Opinions from the media:
The following excerpts are taken from articles that may shed some light on
this very complex matter.
2000-OCT-11: Newsroom was an information agency that circulated reports about religious conflicts around
the world. They noted that many observers are considering the latest round of
strife between Palestinians and Israelis to be a religious war. They issued the following report.
Although the Newsroom analysis was made only a few weeks into the
Infitada, it is largely valid today: 3
With more than 90 deaths and
the destruction of synagogues and mosques, observers increasingly are describing
the recent strife between Palestinians and Israelis as a religious war.
Though politicians on both sides see the conflict as a battle
over territory, religion is a spark that both sides have fanned
with attacks on each other’s holy sites. Israeli and
Palestinian clerics agree that the sectarian strife has cut deep
wounds and will make it increasingly difficult for the two sides
to find a way to coexist, even though leaders have distanced
themselves from the vandalism.
Chief Israeli Rabbi Meir Lau called desecration of a former
mosque in Tiberias "a disgrace to Judaism."
Rabbi Yehuda Kaplan, once an Army officer and currently an
educator in Jerusalem, told Newsroom that although the current
situation again looks like a "war of survival" for the
Jews, he prays that "after all of this settles, we will
figure out a way to live together."
"It's a hard task, but God never gave an easy one to the
Jews," Kaplan said. "There will be no other neighbors
for us. They should respect our holy places, and we should
respect their mosques."
Sufi Sheikh Abu Saleh said that "the answer to the
strife is Abraham: his two sons, Israel and Ishmael, have to
reconcile. Allah wants it."
Full-scale violence began September 30, the day after Israeli
opposition leader Ariel Sharon visited the Jerusalem Temple
Mount. The compound -- site of bloody clashes in 1990 and 1996
-- is the most sensitive spot in Israeli-Palestinian relations.
The Palestinians insist on full control of the shrine, the third
holiest site in Islam. The site is home to two major mosques
marking the spot where Islamic tradition says the Prophet
Muhammad ascended to heaven.
Israel has said it would consider less than full control but
would not accept Palestinian rule over the compound, former home
of the biblical Jewish temple, the most sacred shrine of
Judaism. According to Jewish tradition, the site also is where
Abraham was instructed to sacrifice his son Isaac.
Many fundamentalist Christians who are sympathetic to Zionist
causes venerate the site as the place where Jesus preached and
where the Third Temple is to be built for his dwelling after the
Second Coming that they expect in the near future.
Mid-east peace talks broke off over the status of Jerusalem's
Old City and the Temple Mount in July and never recovered.
Israel blames Palestinians for starting the recent violence two
days prior to Sharon's visit. Sharon's arrival, Israelis assert,
became a pretext for escalating the clashes. Israel blames
Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat for using bloodshed
in an attempt to win back international sympathy and pressure
Israel for more concessions.
Palestinians see Sharon's visit as a provocation that
triggered violence across Palestinian territories and Israel. In
Nablus (biblical Shechem), a week of intense gunfights centered
around Joseph’s Tomb, which was defended by Israeli soldiers
against Palestinian gunmen. Jews believe the biblical patriarch
Joseph is buried at the site, which houses a yeshiva, a Jewish
seminary. 4,5
After a week of fighting at the tomb, resulting in the deaths
of six Palestinians and an Israeli soldier, Israeli Prime
Minister Ehud Barak ordered evacuation of the enclave. It was
the first time Israel relinquished territory as a direct result
of Palestinian violence. Hours after the Israeli army withdrew,
rioters forced their way into the compound past Palestinian
guards, who had promised to protect the tomb. The mob ripped
apart and burned Jewish prayer books, set fire to parts of the
compound, and broke through the stone dome of the tomb.
Regional Cooperation Minister Shimon Peres claimed the events
at Joseph’s Tomb show that Arafat has a problem protecting
holy sites. When Israel controlled the sites, there was free and
safe access for Jews, Christians, and Muslims, he said.
"If the Palestinians cannot keep their promises
regarding the holy sites, how can they be given control of other
things?" Sharon asked on Israeli television.
Nablus Mayor Ghassan Shakaa, whose son was wounded during the
clashes and evacuated by Israeli medics, said Palestinian
security forces were overrun by the demonstrators. Shakaa said
they would rebuild the site. Israel Radio reported, however,
that Palestinians have begun constructing a mosque at Joseph’s
Tomb.
After images of the vandalized Joseph's Tomb were televised,
Jewish protesters launched a revenge attack. As word spread that
a Tiberias man was among three soldiers captured by Lebanese
guerrillas, hundreds of residents of the Jewish town converged
on a 200-year-old mosque abandoned during the 1948 Middle East
war. In recent months, however, Muslim activists from nearby
Arab communities had been holding Friday prayers there in an
attempt to regain control. Demonstrators burned a tire inside,
blackening the walls and floor, and one man pushed stones from
the roof of the mosque onto the street.
In a continued cycle of vandalism, Jaffa Arabs desecrated a
local synagogue and rioting residents of Palestinian Shfaram
vandalized the town’s ancient synagogue. Shfaram's mayor
apologized for the damage and began work to restore the
building.
Around the world, a number of synagogues were desecrated as a
show of solidarity with Palestinians. Several Torah scrolls were
burned Tuesday after vandals set fire to a synagogue in
Tashkent, the capital of Uzbekistan. Unknown assailants attacked
two synagogues in Paris with firebombs, Israel Radio reported.
Meanwhile, in Israel, two rabbis and three yeshiva students
were reported to have become victims of the violence. In the
first days of the conflict, a head of the West Bank yeshiva,
Rabbi Brandover, was dragged out of his car and severely beaten
by Palestinian police when he mistakenly entered Palestinian
territory. The rabbi was taken to a hospital in serious
condition. Later, in a similar incident, three yeshiva students
were bitten and stabbed by an Arab mob in Jerusalem.
Last Sunday, Israeli security forces discovered the
bullet-ridden body of Rabbi Hillel Lieberman, 37, a U.S. citizen
who taught at Joseph Tomb's seminary. Saturday morning
Lieberman, the father of seven, left his West Bank synagogue on
foot for Joseph’s Tomb in nearby Nablus after hearing that
Palestinians had destroyed the shrine. Lieberman, unarmed and
wearing a prayer shall, intended to save some of the prayer
books left in the seminary. According the Israeli Army and
Palestinian Radio, the rabbi was stopped by armed Palestinians,
brutally beaten and killed.
Lieberman’s father, Rabbi Sidney Zvulun Lieberman of
Brooklyn, New York, claims to be a distant cousin of Senator
Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut, the Democratic Party candidate
for vice president. The senator says, however, that he is
unaware of the connection.
The Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish
Organizations called on President Bill Clinton to hold Arafat
personally responsible for rabbi's murder.
2001-AUG-2: By this date, 549 Palestinians and 133
Israelis have been killed since the start of Infitada II in the fall of 2000. Thousands have been
injured. Haroon Siddiqui, editorial page editor emeritus of the Toronto
Star described the situation in Israel, and the reactions of the world
community:
Three million Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza have been in a
state of economic and military siege for months.
Israel acknowledges that it is now actively assassinating suspected
militants.
B'Tselem, the Israeli human rights group claims that
Palestinian suspects, including children, have been imprisoned and
abused.
Israel is now largely isolated by the world community, with the
exception of the United States.
The UN High Commission for Human Rights has expressed "grave
concern a the deterioration of the humanitarian situation in the
occupied territories'...at the large number of persons, including
children, detained; [and at] the continued detention of some detainees
without any charges."
The International Red Cross and Amnesty International
have also condemned Israeli actions.
The European Union called on Israel to end illegal
settlements in the occupied areas, to stop "extra-judicial killings,"
to stop withholding funds from the Palestinian Authority, and to reopen
the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
British Foreign Secretary Ben Bradshaw said: "Britain cannot
accept the targeted assassination by Israel of Palestinian militants. We
and our European Union colleagues have repeated made clear that such
assassinations are wrong and illegal under international law. Justice
cannot be meted out by force."
Siddiqui concludes his article with: "...[Ariel] Sharon's
misguided mission of starving, beating, and killing Palestinians
in to capitulation will not work any more than any other
occupier's delusion of squelching the will of the occupied to be
free. The only route to peace and security that Israel wants and
deserves lies through the negotiations begun by the late Yitzhak
Rabin." 6
2002-MAR: A massive increase in violence by both sides occurred
during the first half of 2002-MAR. During the first two weeks of March,
over 150 Palestinians and 50 Israelis died. Ariel Sharon's popularity
among Israeli voters has suffered accordingly. Secretary-General Kofi
Annan deliver an unusually frank speech to the U.N. Security Council,
urging Palestinians to halt "morally repugnant" acts of terror and
suicide bombings. He also urged the Israelis to end their "illegal
occupation" of Palestinian territory and stop using excessive force.
The Israeli government claims that the land in dispute is not occupied,
but is rather "disputed." Thus they believe that the Fourth Geneva
Convention, which establishes minimum standards for the protection of
civilians during army occupations, does not apply there.
The U.N. Security Council approved a U.S. resolution on
2002-MAR-12 which calls for the creation of a Palestinian state
and affirms "a vision of a region where two states, Israel
and Palestine, live side-by-side within secure and recognized
borders." The vote was 14 to 0, with Syria abstaining. 7
2002-JUN: Thomas Friedman, writing an editorial for the New York Times
in concerned about the future. He commented: "...there are three trends converging in the Middle East
today. The first is this vicious Israeli-Palestinian war. The second is a
population explosion in the Arab world, where virtually every Arab country
has a population bubble of under-15-year-olds, who are marching toward a
future where they will find a shortage of good jobs and a surplus of
frustration. The third is an explosion of Arab satellite TV stations, the
Internet and other private media. Basically what's happening is that this
Arab media explosion is taking images of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
and beaming them to this population explosion, nurturing a rage against
Israel, America and Jews in a whole new Arab generation." 8
2002-SEP-11: There have been some interesting developments
reported in the media. All may point to significant change in this troubled region:
The number of attacks on the Israeli public by Palestinian suicide
bombers has decreased markedly over the
previous month.
The Palestine Authority's parliament, reflecting popular anger and
frustration, has forced Chairman Arafat's entire cabinet to resign.
A survey has indicated that most Israeli settlers in the occupied
territories are willing to leave if they receive sufficient financial
incentive.
"Israeli-Palestinian clashes center on holy sites," Newsroom,
2000-OCT-12. Newsroom is a service of Worldwide Newsroom Inc.
of Oxford UK. Their home page is at http://www.newsroom.org
Other reports say that only a small percentage of Jews revere this burial
site as belonging to the biblical patriarch Joseph.
The Hebrew Scriptures record that Joseph was buried in Egypt.
Haroon Siddiqui, "Sharon gives Israel a bad name," Toronto Star,
editorial page, 2001-AUG-2.
Edith M. Lederer, "U.N. Backs Plan for Palestinian State,"
Associated Press, 2002-MAR-13, at:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/