"There does not seem to be revival taking place in America. Whether
that is measured by church attendance, born again status, or theological purity,
the statistics simply do not reflect a surge of any noticeable proportions."
George Barna. 38
Truthfulness: Poll data on religious behavior and practice are notoriously unreliable. Individuals often describe
their own behavior inaccurately; they answer questions according to what they think they
should be doing. For example:
17% of American adults say that they tithe (give 10 to 13% of their income to their
church). Only 3% really do. 16
Many polls indicate that the percentage of adults who regularly attend a religious
service is about 40% in the U.S., 20% in Canada, and perhaps 10% or less in Europe. But
when noses are actually counted, the true figures are about half the stated figures (about 20% in
the U.S. and 10% in Canada.) The 50% figure also appears to apply in
the UK. Author Monica Furlong commented: "...people questioned
about how much they go to church, give figures which, if true, would
add up to twice those given by the churches." 40
Selection of respondents:
Reliability of public opinion data is also affected by the way in which the respondents
are selected.
The Barna Research Group, Gallup Organization, USA Today,
CNN and similar polls typically interview over 1000 randomly
selected adults for each survey.
Many polls appear on the Internet and are answered to by self-selected individuals. 18Unfortunately, people who answer polls on the Internet may well well hold opinions
that are different from Internet users generally. Internet users come form a variety of
cultures, may cover a wide age range, and probably differ from the average American adult
in other ways. More details.
Wording The precise makeup of the question can produce widely variable
results, particularly in questions about
religious belief.
Not attended Christian church service in last 6 months (except for
wedding, funeral, holiday service, etc.)
31%
14
Adults who claim that they tithe
17%
16
Adults who really do tithe
3%
16
Adults using the Internet for religious purposes
12%
10
% of church-goers who change their church in a typical year **
20%
12
% of church-goers who attend more than one church on a rotating basis **
15 to 20%
12
* Evaluated by interviewer on basis of the respondent's current
personal commitment to Jesus, and a belief that they will go to Heaven because of having
first been saved.
** Estimated by George Barna of Barna Research Group.
A telephone poll was conducted by Barna Research during 1999 and the first
two months of 2000 among 4,755 adults over the age of 18 who reside in the 48
contiguous U.S. states. The sampling error is within 2%. They have found a major
difference in the practices of men and women. 37 Some of their
findings are:
Item
Males
Females
Senior pastors in Protestant churches
> 90%
< 10%
Have set spiritual goals for next 2 years
29%
41%
Faith is critical to their life
60%
75%
Involved in a discipleship process
7%
14%
Participate in adult Sunday school
14%
22%
Have held a leadership role in church
9%
14%
Had a devotional or quite time, last 7 days
44%
61%
Had read the Bible, last 7 days
35%
45%
Attended church in the last week
35%
45% *
Prayed to God in the last 7 days
77%
89%
Had never visited a Christian church
14%
7%
* This is a reduction from 55% in 1991. Attendance data are grossly
inflated. Independent studies that count actual participation have
revealed that the actual attendance values are
typically one half of those found by polls. People tend to respond to
pollsters according to how the feel they should act, not according to
how they do act.
Protestant pastors who claim that their church is multi-cultural
51%
7
Congregations where at least 90% are from the same racial group
80%
7
Average number of attendees at Protestant Sunday services in 1992, 1997,
1998
102, 100, 91
7
Change in Protestant worship service attendance from 1997 to 1998:
9% decrease
12
% Protestant churches with small group ministries in 1987, 1992, 1997
& 1998
23, 48, 72, 85%
7, 12
% Protestant senior clergy with college degree
88%
8
Average experience in full time ministry
17 years
8
Average ministry at current church
5 years
8
Annual compensation for the senior clergy
$36,400
8
Annual church budgets: 1997, 1998 (in thousands)
123, 105
13
Howreligious behaviors have changed in
recent years:
Some religious behaviors are relatively stable:
Numbers of American adults who do volunteer work at church over the past week (24%). 15
Other religious behaviors are changing:
There were major shifts in home religious study. The percentage
of adults who read the Bible dropped from 40% to 37% between 2000
and 2001. Similarly the percentage of adults who had a private
time to pray and read the Bible and devotional literature dropped
from 53% to 49%. 39
Average attendees at Protestant Sunday services dropped by 11% from 1992 to 19987,12
Annual church budgets declined 15% from 1997 to 1998 13
Church attendance over the previous week dropped from 49% in 1991 to 41% in 199915
Many of the above data come from the Barna Research Group. For the purpose of
its studies, Barna does not ask its subjects to identify themselves as "born
again" or "Evangelical." Barna has adopted certain definitions:
A "born again Christian" is a subject who said that
"they have made a personal commitment to Jesus Christ that is
still important in their life today and who also indicated they believe
that when they die they will go to Heaven because they had confessed their
sins and had accepted Jesus Christ as their savior."
"Evangelicals" are subjects who met the "born
again" criteria, and who state that "their faith
is very important in their life today;...they have a personal
responsibility to share their religious beliefs about Christ with
non-Christians; ...Satan exists; ...eternal salvation is possible only
through grace, not works; ... Jesus Christ lived a sinless life on earth;
...God [is]...the all-knowing, all-powerful, perfect deity who created the
universe and still rules it today."
"Angels are in; Devil & Holy Spirit are out," results of a survey
conducted in 1997-JAN. Accuracy: within 3% points, 19 times out of 20. See: http://www.barna.org/PressAngels.htm
"An inside look at today's churches," results of a survey conducted
in 1997-AUG. Accuracy: within 5% points, 19 times out of 20. See: http://www.barna.org/PressInsideChurches.htm
"Christianity showing no visible signs of a nationwide revival,"
results of a survey conducted in 1998-JAN. Accuracy: within 3% points, 19 times out of 20.
See: http://www.barna.org/PressNoRevival.htm
"Pastors and laity hold divergent views about spiritual revival,"
results of two surveys conducted in 1998-JUN/JUL. Accuracy: within 3-5% points, 19 times
out of 20. See: http://www.barna.org/PressDivergentViews.htm
"One out of three adults is now unchurched," results of
two surveys conducted in 1998-JUL. Accuracy: within 3% points, 19 times out of 20. See: http://www.barna.org/PressOneThreeUnchurched.htm
Thomas C. Reeves, "The Empty Church: Does Organized Religion Matter
Anymore?" Simon & Schuster: New York, NY (1998), Page. 64." Cited in http://www.adherents.com/Na_169.html under
the topic "religious - modestly"
Gallup Organization poll in 1994-DEC. Quoted in George Bishop, "What
Americans really believe," Free Inquiry, 1999-Summer, Pages 38 to
42.
International Social survey Program (ISSP), 1991 & 1993. Quoted in
George Bishop, "What Americans really believe," Free
Inquiry, 1999-Summer, Pages 38 to 42.
George Bishop, "What Americans really believe," Free
Inquiry, 1999-Summer, Pages 38 to 42.
1999 Poll by the Survey Research Center at the University of
California at Berkeley CA. Reported in the Globe and Mail
(Toronto, ON) newspaper on 1999-OCT-9.
T. Hargrove & G.H. Stempel III, "Poll indicates a haunted
nation." Nando Times, 1999-OCT-27. Describes a poll by Scripps
Howard News Service and Ohio University during 1999-SEP/OCT. Margin of
error: 4%