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LONGITUDINAL U.S. PUBLIC OPINION POLLS:

SAME-SEX CIVIL UNIONS

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Status of same-sex marriages (SSM) and civil unions:

As of 2006-MAR, same-sex marriages are only available in the Netherlands, Belgium, Massachusetts, Spain, and Canada. Some jurisdictions limit SSM to residents only. Their legislators or courts have simply re-written their marriage laws so that loving, committed couples of all sexual orientations can marry.

However, the states of Vermont, California Connecticut, New Zealand, the UK, and other countries allow gays and lesbians to enter into civil unions or domestic partnerships. In the U.S., these couples receive all of the rights, privileges, and obligations that the state gives to married couples, but are denied over 1,000 federal benefits.

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Gallup Organization poll data 1996 to 2003:

The Gallup Organization has been polling the public since 1996 about same-sex marriages and civil unions. For most polls, they asked the question: "Suppose that on election day this year you could vote on key issues as well as candidates. Please tell me whether you would vote for or against each one of the following propositions. Would you vote...For or against a law that would allow homosexual couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples." In 2001 they asked a slightly different question: "Would you favor or oppose a law that would allow homosexual couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples?" Their 2003 survey involved 1,005 randomly selected adults. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. 1 Results were:
Date Favor unions Oppose unions No opinion
1996-APR 28% 67% 5%
2000-OCT 42 54 4
2001-MAY 44 52 4
2002-FEB 41 53 6
2002-APR 45 46 9
2002-MAY 46 51 3
2003-MAY 49 49 2

By early 2003-MAY, the Gallup results country was equally divided between those favoring and those opposing civil unions for gays and lesbians. This is a legislators' nightmare; no matter what they do -- or if they do nothing -- they will have massive numbers of voters angry at them. The momentum clearly was in the direction of a clear majority of American adults favoring unions in the near future. Further, the percentage of adults with no opinion has steadily dropped.

Results of a similar poll by the Washington Post were announced on 2003-AUG-14. Three unusual events had occurred between the May and August polls:

bulletSame-sex marriage was legalized in parts of Canada
bulletThe U.S. Supreme Court declared all anti-sodomy laws unconstitutional
bulletThe Episcopal Church, USA confirmed the election of a gay bishop who is in a committed relationship, and allowed their congregations to decide whether to bless same-sex relationships.

Perhaps because of these developments, there was a precipitous drop of 12% in support for civil unions.

Date Favor unions Oppose unions No opinion
2003-AUG 37% 60% 3%

A similar drop was observed in a Canadian poll about same-sex marriage during the same month. This appears to have been a temporary blip. 2,3

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Pew Research Center poll data 2003 to 2005:

They asked: "Do you strongly favor, favor, oppose, or strongly oppose allowing gay and lesbian couples to enter into legal agreements with each other that would give them many of the same rights as married couples?"

The question was similar to that asked by the Gallup Organization above, except that "legal agreements" replaced "civil unions" and "many of the same rights" replaced "some of the legal rights."

Date Favor unions Oppose unions No opinion
2003-OCT 45% 47% 8%
2004-MAR 49 44 7
2004-JUL 49 43 8
2004-AUG 48 45 7
2005-JUL 53 40 7

Equal numbers of American adults appear to have supported and opposed civil unions during early 2004. There has been a trend towards supporting civil unions ever since. Still, the current level of support would probably be insufficient to assure passage of a proposition or plebiscite. That is because:

bulletA statistically designed survey among randomly selected adults gives a reasonably correct estimate of the percentages who are for and against civil unions, with a predictable accuracy.
bulletA plebiscite or proposition only represents the wishes of those who are sufficiently motivated to get out and vote. It is well known that, on average, those who oppose benefits to same-sex couples are far more passionate about restricting rights than those who favor benefits have enthusiasm about granting rights.

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References used:

The following information sources were used to prepare and update the above essay. The hyperlinks are not necessarily still active today.

  1. "Six out of 10 Americans Say Homosexual Relations Should Be Recognized as Legal
    But Americans are evenly divided on issue of legal civil unions between homosexuals giving them the legal rights of married couples
    ," The Gallup Organization, 2003-MAY-15, at: http://www.gallup.com/poll/releases/ *
  2. "New Poll: Majority of Americans are Defenders of Marriage," Family Research Council, Washington Update, 2003-AUG-14.
  3. Richard Mornin & Alan Cooperman, "Poll shows strong disapproval of religious sanctioning of same-sex relationships," Washington Post, 2003-AUG-14, at: http://www.ajc.com/
  4. "Law and Civil Rights," Polling Report, 2006, at: http://www.pollingreport.com/

* Gallup Poll data typically remains accessible to the public for a limited time, and then requires a premium membership to access.

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Site navigation: Home page > "Hot" religious topics > Homosexuality > Polls > here

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Copyright © 2001 TO 2006  by Ontario Consultants on Religious Tolerance
Originally written: 2001-JUL-30
Latest update: 2006-MAR-25
Author: B.A. Robinson

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