The identically worded Prop 8 passed with only 52.3% of the votes
This represents a drop in support of 9 percentage points in 8 years!
Assuming that this trend
continues, if all legal challenges in the near future fail to restore SSM to
California, a new Proposition favoring marriage equality in 2012 would probably pass
comfortably. Again, this would
only take 50% of the voting public plus one vote to pass.
The drop of 9
percentage points between 2000 and 2008 is not a fluke. Numerous polls on equal
rights for persons of all sexual orientations -- heterosexuals, bisexuals
and homosexuals -- have consistently shown a gradual weakening of the
(for what it is worth):
There are few rights more fundamental that being able to marry the
person that one loves and to whom they are committed.
It is still puzzling to us
how two percent of the population can determine who receives fundamental human
rights and who is denied them throughout California.
If Prop 8 is allowed to stand, then nobody's rights are safe. There
are lots of minority groups in California who are hated and feared by a substantial number
of potential voters in the state. Probably the most unpopular groups are
religious minorities -- particularly Atheists and
Muslims. Beyond them are
other vulnerable minorities.
One of the purposes of a constitution is to protect
the rights of minorities from attacks by legislatures and majorities of
the public. This protection failed over Prop. 8.
One is reminded of the words of pastor Martin Niemoller writing in 1945 on his release from a World War II Nazi concentration
"First they came for the communists, and I did not speak out-- because I
was not a communist; Then they came for the socialists, and I did not speak
out-- because I was not a socialist; Then they came for the trade unionists, and
I did not speak out-- because I was not a trade unionist; Then they came for the
Jews, and I did not speak out-- because I was not a Jew; Then they came for me--
and there was no one left to speak out for me." 1,2
The following information sources were used to prepare and update the above
essay. The hyperlinks are not necessarily still active today.
The above wording appears to be correct. However, a very popular
distortion of his saying cites, in order: labor unions, Communists, Jews,