by various groups
the future of
same-sex marriage (SSM) in the U.S.
2015-JAN-08: Same-sex marriage: recent developments, current status, and future predictions:
2013-MAY: Most American adults believe that legal recognition of same-sex marriage across the entire country is "inevitable." A national poll by Pew Research Center for the People and the Press found that 72% of American adults expect this to happen. 1 Among adults who support SSM, 85% believe it is inevitable; among those opposed, the value is 59% -- still a health majority. As a result of dozens of decisions in state and federal courts, many more states have legalized marriage by same-sex couples in the 18 months following the Pew study. These polling results would probably increase significantly if the poll were repeated today.
2013-JUN: Fewer than two months after the Pew Research poll, the U.S. Supreme Court issued rulings in two very important cases on 2013-JUN-26:
In Wilson v. United States the high court declared a major part of the federal Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) to be unconstitutional. It resulted in 1,138 government marriage benefits and protections -- which were previously restricted to opposite-sex married couples -- being also made available to married same-sex couples whose marriages are recognized where they live.
2015-JAN-08: Appeals have been filed in the U.S. Supreme Court to resolve SSM in five states: Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Tennessee. Meanwhile, the 4th, 7th, 9th and 10th U.S. Circuit Courts of Appeals have issued rulings legalizing SSM while the 6th Circuit Court has issued a ruling upholding state bans. With such a "circuit split" acceptance of appeals by the high court is very likely. The nine Justices of the U.S. Supreme Court are scheduled to meet on Friday, 2014-JAN-09, to decide whether to accept one or more of these five cases.
Topics covered in this section:
Part 1: Overview. 2013-MAR: Predictions by Ned Flaherty of Marriage Equality, USA
Part 2: 2003-JUN to 2013-JUN: Predictions by Supreme Court Justices Kennedy & Scalia
Part 3: 2013-JUL: Predictions by Linda Feldman of the Christian Science Monitor
Part 4: 2013: Predictions by Future Timeline.net, this web site, and the New York Times
Part 5:2013-JUN: The Hill's predictions about same-sex marriage (SSM) becoming available across
How this might change opposition to SSM.
The following information source was used to prepare and update the above
essay. The hyperlink is not necessarily still active today.