Domestic partnerships in Washington State

Public opinion polls on Referendum 71

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Background:

Referendum 71 (R-71) asks voters to either endorse or reject Senate Bill 5688 which became law earlier in 2009. It extends earlier rights given to registered partners so that they receive the same rights privileges and obligations as married couples. Registered partnerships are open to adult same-sex couples and opposite-sex couples in which one partner is 62 years-of-age or older.

The usual crowds are involved:

Supporters of equal rights have outspent conservatives in their advertising budgets.

2009-OCT-06: Survey USA/ KING-TV poll shows support for R-71:

Survey USA conducted a poll of 1,050 adults in Washington State between OCT-03 and OCT-05. Margin of error is ±4.3%. _1,2

They found that 45% of the likely voters said that they are "certain to vote to approve Referendum 71" while 42% will reject it and 13% -- a relatively large percentage for this type of vote -- are undecided.

There was an unusually wide gender bias: Men rejected R-71 by a 4-point margin while women support it by a 12-point margin.

Among other results is a strange near symmetry that shows the bipolar cultural division in the state -- similar to that seen elsewhere in the U.S.:

Results by age differ from most polls. Usually, young adults are strongly in favor, while those over 65-years-of-age are strongly opposed, with those between 35 and 65 on a downward slope of support with age. But these results were quite different:

2009-OCT-26: Washington University Poll shows support for R-71:

Past polls conducted by Washington University revealed a gradual increase in favor of domestic partnership rights and a decrease in opposition:

The social research school at the University of Washington conducted a poll about Referendum 71. They polled 724 registered voters between 2009-OCT-14 and 26. The margin of error is ±3.6%.

According to Brad Shannon of The Olympian:

"Matt Barreto, a political science professor at the UW and co-director of the school’s Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity, Race & Sexuality, said the R-71 poll is consistent with the trend of growing public support for same-sex relationships he has found in other polling since 2006. Barreto predicted a 'large victory' for R-71." ₃

References used in this essay:

The following information sources were used to prepare and update the above essay. The hyperlinks are not necessarily still active today.

1. "Results of Survey USA Election Poll #15877," Survey USA, 2009-OCT-06, at: http://www.surveyusa.com/
2. Dominic Holden, "Poll: R-71 has narrow lead, I-1033 passing," SLOG News and Arts, 2009-OCT-06, at: http://slog.thestranger.com/
3. Brad Shannon, "R-71 ahead, poll shows...,"  The Olympian, 2009-OCT-28, at: http://www.theolympian.com/

Copyright © 2009 by Ontario Consultants on Religious Tolerance
Original posting: 2009-OCT-30
Latest update: 2009-OCT-31
Author: B.A. Robinson

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