In two additional states of the U.S., marriage equality is in a state of flux:
In Missouri, licenses are available in St. Louis and two additional counties, but not in the rest of the state.
In Alabama, a constitutional crisis exists between the federal District Court, which has declared the state's ban on same-sex marriages to be unconstitutional, and the Alabama Supreme Court which has declared the ban to be constitutional.
We expect that this conflict will be resolved late this month or in early July when the U.S. Supreme Court is scheduled to issue its ruling in the consolidated case Obergefell v. Hodges. Obergefell case involves same-sex marriage in four states --Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio and Tennessee. The High Court ruling is widely expected to rule in favor of marriage equality across the entire U.S., including the District of Columbia, all 50 states, and 5 territories.
The most likely dates for the U.S. Supreme Court to issue its decision are JUN-15, 18, 22 or 29. They could extend their session into July. However, they haven't done that in the past 20 years. They often save the most controversial rulings for last, so JUN-29 may be the date.
Until the High Court issues its ruling few major changes concerning marriage equality are expected anywhere in the U.S.
Activity during 2015-JUN:
2015-JUN-08: A Pew Research Center poll shows high and increasing support for same-sex marriage in the U.S.:
Pew Research has regularly conducted surveys from a random selection of U.S. adults about same sex marriage (SSM) for almost two decades. They are asked whether they are in favor of or opposed to "... allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally." The most recent data, collected between MAY-12 and 18 is:
57% of adults favor SSM; 39% are opposed. This is a reversal since 2005 when 36% were in favor and 53% opposed. margin of error is ~+mn~2.5 percentage points.
65% of Democrats favor SSM. This is a major increase since 2005 when only 45% were in favor.
65% of Independents favor SSM. This is a major increase since 2005 when only 46% were in favor.
34% of Republicans favor SSM. This is a major increase since 2005 when only 19% were in favor. This is an increase of almost two times.
Much of the change has been driven by "Millennials," who are currently young adults betwen 18 and 34 years-of-age.
A person's religion remains the most important factor in deciding their support or opposition to SSM.Only 27% of White evangelical Protestants faor SSM, as do 62% of White mainline Protestants, 56% of Roman Catholisc and an amazing 85% of Notas (persons who are NOT Affiliated with any religion).
However, perhaps the most important and remarkable data found is that 72% of Republicans, 72% of Democrats, and 74% of Independents expect that same-sex marriage across the entire United States is"ïnevitable." (margin of error is ~+mn~4.1 to 5.0 percentage points.) There is probably no other controversial topic over which U.S. adults of all political persuasions are in such complete agreement. This is an important factor this month when the U.S. Supreme Court is scheduled to issue its ruling in the consolidated case Obergefell v. Hodges. The Justices of the High Court will know that the American public will support them if they issue a ruling that extends marriage to qualified same-sex couples. Leaders in the Judicial, Legislaive, and Executive functions of the U.S. government are acutely aware of public support for decisions that they make. The High Court is still aware of cases like the Dred Scott case of 1857, when the Supreme Court rejected a Black man's pleas for his freedom and that of his family. The Court is also mindful of the Roe v. Wade decision of 1973 which legalized abortion access at a time when much of the American public was in agreement. Many of the Justices are near retirement age and are concerned about their heritage as viewed by future generations.
2015-JUN-08: Wells Fargo's commercial on You Tube:
The following commercial by Wells Fargo received over 1 million views on You Tube, along with 11,036 likes and 434 dislikes in its first 16 days on You Tube. That is a ratio of over 25 to 1 in favor! The commercial features two women who are teaching themselves sign language so that they can communicate to a little girl that they are going to adopt her.
She is about to become part of a forever family headed by two mommies.
According to the Samaritan's Purse international relief agency:
"Franklin Graham has devoted his life to meeting the needs of people around the world and proclaiming the Gospel of Jesus Christ. The eldest son of Billy and Ruth Bell Graham, he serves as President and CEO of Samaritan's Purse and the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association. Under his leadership, Samaritan's Purse has met the needs of poor, sick, and suffering people in more than 100 countries. ..." 2
Apparently, his efforts to meet the needs of the poor, sick, and suffering people in the world do not extend to lesbians, gays and bisexuals or to any orphans that might long for a family to become part of. He was so offended by the portrayal of the same-sex couple in this commercial that he transferred the Samaritan's Purse bank accounts from Wells Fargo to a competing bank. If you agree with him that it is despicable for two women committing themselves to support each other for the rest of their lives and to extend their love and family to include a young deaf orphan girl, then you might consider following Graham's example. On the other hand, if you consider Graham's actions to be despicable, you might consider switching one or more accounts to Wells Fargo.