2017-APR-22: Majority of U.S. adults believe Trump is not making progress in changing Washington:
A Gallup Poll conducted approximately 100 days after President Trump's Inauguration, found that:
54% believed he hasnot made progress to change Washington.
40% believed he has made progress.
This is similar to data collected at a similar point in the first Obama administration, 2009-APR-20:
53% believed he had not made progress to change Washington.
45% believed he had made progress.
Jeffrey Jones, writing for Gallup said:
"Opinions about the success of Trump's efforts to change Washington are driven mostly by political partisanship. More than three-quarters of Republicans, 78%, say Trump has made progress, while a slightly higher percentage of Democrats (79%) say he has not made progress. Independents, by a nearly 2-to-1 margin, believe Trump has not made progress.
When Gallup asked the same question in 2009 about Obama, opinions were not as starkly partisan. At that time, 69% of Obama's fellow Democrats thought he was making progress in changing Washington, while 36% of Republicans agreed. Independents were divided evenly about Obama's progress. 1
President Trump's overall approval rating has been dismal during his first 100 days in office. His initial rating, shortly after his inauguration, was 46% -- the lowest of any president to date. It sunk to 35%, and has since risen to 43% at the end of his first 100 days in office. His averaged job approval rating during his first quarter as president, was 41%. This was 14 percentage points lower than any other previous president in the history of Gallup's polls.
2017-MAY-25: Federal appeals court rules on President Trump's second Muslim ban:
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 4th Circuit in Richmond, VA refused to lift the nationwide injunction on Trump's second executive order that would have banned Muslims from the U.S. Because of the importance of the topic, the court bypassed their usual procedure of having the appeal heard by a three-judge panel. Instead, it was immediately reviewed by the full 13-judge court.
Christine Farlas, writing for Huffington Post, said:
"U.S. Chief Circuit Judge Roger Gregory wrote that the text of Trump’s executive order, which was challenged in courts across the country for targeting members of a particular faith,:
... 'speaks with vague words of national security, but in context drips with religious intolerance, animus, and discrimination. ... Congress granted the President broad power to deny entry to aliens, but that power is not absolute. ... It cannot go unchecked when, as here, the President wields it through an executive edict that stands to cause irreparable harm to individuals across this nation'." 2
Judge James Wynn agreed, writing:
"Laid bare, this Executive Order is no more than what the President promised before and after his election: naked invidious discrimination against Muslims. Such discrimination contravenes the authority Congress delegated to the President in the Immigration and Nationality Act ... and it is unconstitutional under the Establishment Clause [of the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution]."
U.S. Circuit Judge Dennis Shedd dissented from the majority opinion. He expressed concern over:
"... the larger ramifications of this decision [for the nation’s safety]. Regrettably, at the end of the day, the real losers in this case are the millions of individual Americans whose security is threatened on a daily basis by those who seek to do us harm."
Later that day, Attorney General Jeff Sessions issued a statement saying that the Justice Department:
"...will seek review of this case in the United States Supreme Court. .. [the order was] well within his lawful authority to keep the Nation safe. ... [The Department of Justice] strongly disagrees with the decision of the divided court, which blocks the President’s efforts to strengthen this country’s national security."
As the dissenting judges explained, the executive order is a constitutional exercise of the President’s duty to protect our communities from terrorism. The President is not required to admit people from countries that sponsor or shelter terrorism, until he determines that they can be properly vetted and do not pose a security risk to the United States." 2
Trump's Muslim ban before the U.S. Supreme Court:
During early 2017-JUN, the U.S. 4th Circuit Court of Appeals upheld the Maryland judge's injunction and thus prevented President Trump's ban against travel from six predominately Muslim countries from being enforced.
Also, the Trump administration asked the U.S. Supreme Court to review the injunction that suspended Trump's travel ban. The case is now called: "Trump vs. International Refugee Assistance Project." Government lawyers submitted a 356 page petition, arguing that the president has "broad authority to suspend" the entry of foreigners into the country. 3
The lawyers also submitted a second brief urging the High Court to revive Trump's travel order immediately. There are two problems with this brief:
Trump’s order took effect on MAR-16, and was set up to run "for 90 days from the effective date of this order." The order runs out in mid-June. This is probably before the Supreme Court would be able to act on the brief.
Even if the Justices issue agree to the appeal immediately, they would only be able to review the ban in October. By that time, the 90 day travel suspension would already have expired.
Mid 2017: President Trump's approval/disapproval ratings:
Back in late March, Trump's job approval among U.S. adults was found by Gallup to be 51% among the "highly religious," 44% among the "moderately religious", and only 32% among the "not religious." 4
On JUN-12, Gallup's regular polling showed that President Trump's public disapproval rating reached a new personal high of 60%.
This rating is higher than was ever reached by Presidents Franklin D. Roosevelt (46%), Dwight D. Eisenhower (36%), John F. Kennedy (30%), Lyndon B. Johnson (52%), Gerald R. Ford (46%), Jimmy Carter (59%), Ronald Reagan (56%), Bill Clinton (54%) or Barack Obama (57%). He tied the highest disapproval rating of George H.W. Bush which occurred on 1992-JUL-31. However, he still has a way to go to reach President Truman's disapproval rating (67%), Nixon's (66%), or George W Bush's (71%).
As of 2017-JUN-17:
President Trump's average approval rating was 40.5%, the lowest of any president since before World War II. 5
Special counsel Robert Mueller is allegedly now investigating Trump for possible obstruction of justice. Mueller is investigating Trump's motives when he fired FBI Director James Comey. If obstruction is proven, it would be an impeachable offense.
President Trump tweeted on JUN-15:
"You are witnessing the single greatest WITCH HUNT in American political history - led by some very bad and conflicted people!" 6
FiveThirtyEight.com is tracking the approval disapproval ratings of a large number of U.S. public opinion polling agencies and compares these ratings with previous presidents. 7 As of JUN-26, the 158th day of his presidency, his approval rating among U.S. adults averages 39.6%, and disapproval rating averages 55.2%. Trump's approval rating approximately matches that of Bill Clinton on the same day of his presidency in 1993 and that of Gerald Ford in 1974. But his disapproval rating exceeds that of any other president since Harry S. Truman, who served from 1945 to 1953.
The Toronto Star has a fascinating bar graph of the approval and disapproval ratings of various of President Trump's ideas, both by people around the world, and in Canada: 9
Approval in Canada
Disapproval in Canada
Approval in World
Disapproval in World
Mexican Border wall
Withdrawal from Climate Change Agreement
With drawl from trade agreements
Muslim travel ban
Pew Research found that among Canadians:
"Ninety-two per cent think he is arrogant, 78 per cent think he is intolerant, 72 per cent think he is dangerous. ... Just 16 per cent think he is well qualified to be president. ..."
The survey found that "confidence in the U.S. President to do the right thing regarding world affairs" ranged from 7% in Spain to 69% in the Philippines with a median value of 22%. Pew commented:
"In the eyes of most people surveyed around the world, the White House's new occupant is arrogant, intolerant and even dangerous." 8
Canadians' attitudes towards President Trump appear to have affected their attitude towards the entire U.S. A Pew Research survey released on JUN-26 found that a 51% majority of Canadians dislike the U.S., for the first time since polls on this topic began more than three decades ago. They found that only 43% of Canadians hold a favorable view of that country. However opinion of the U.S. has risen rapidly among the Russian public from about 15% to about 40%. 9